FNUS75 KPUB 101101
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NAVAJO FIRE...TELLER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
501 AM MDT FRI JUN 10 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DEEPER PUSH OF COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIR HAS MOVED
UP THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY AND THE FOURMILE CREEK DRAINAGE EARLY
THIS MORNING. THIS HAS RESULTED IN SOME LOW CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE
REGION WHICH SHOULD BURN OFF BY MID MORNING.  SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SOME SMALL HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH...BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LIGHTNING. ANY
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT WITH GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

ON SATURDAY...A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...
TRIGGERING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG THIS DAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

DRY AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-75%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 8-15
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(44 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-20 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    SOUTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(56 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH AROUND 15-
                    25 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...COMMANDER BRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110609.NAVAJ.02/PUB