FNAK79 PAFG 111322
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 247 MCCORD CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
522 AM AKDT SAT JUN 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1959 AKDT ON JUNE 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE WILL CAUSE THE
ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON...AND LEAD
TO THE FORMATION OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE THERMAL
TROUGH WILL SLOWLY LIFT TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
BUT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
THE WIND REGIME OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1000 FT AGL RISING TO 8000 FT AGL AFTER NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST TOWARD MORNING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS (0-3 MPH) BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110610.247MC.01/AFG