FNUS72 KJAX 102349
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPANOLA FIRE...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
749 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1936 EDT ON JUNE 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPS OVER
THE BAHAMAS AND TRACKS WELL EAST OF THE REGION. STILL ONLY
EXPECTING LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN EACH AFTERNOON
THIS WEEKEND. EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AND BECOME GUSTY AGAIN
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SEABREEZE MOVES INLAND. WINDS WILL BE
NEAR CALM TONIGHT.

NOTE: I HAVE ADDED THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT TO MAINTAIN CONTINUITY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........42     42     43     43     43     43
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............82     77     74     73     71     70
RH..............69     80     86     90     94     98
20 FT WIND......E 14   E 10   E 7    E 3    NE 1   NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   2100   400    400    300    400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 17   E 17   E 8    E 8    SE 5   SE 3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 14 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 14
                    TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........43     44     44     47     45     45
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............69     72     80     85     87     86
RH..............98     93     71     60     55     55
20 FT WIND......NE 1   NE 2   NE 7   NE 12  E 13   E 15
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10            15
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1900   1900   3500   5400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3    NE 7   NE 7   NE 12  E 14   E 14
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...MIKE KUYPERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110610.ESPAN.01/JAX