FNUS72 KJAX 102250
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA- FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
650 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1837 EDT ON JUNE 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPS OVER
THE BAHAMAS AND TRACKS WELL EAST OF THE REGION. STILL ONLY EXPECT
LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN ON SATURDAY AND AROUND 30
PERCENT ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN EASTERLY THROUGH SATURDAY AND
GENERALLY 10 MPH OR LESS WITH HIGHEST WINDS LATE AFTERNOON WHEN
THE SEA BREEZE REACHES THE AREA.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........37     37     37     34     32     36
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............95     85     75     71     69     66
RH..............27     55     79     88     97     100
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 10   SE 8   SE 5   E 2    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10            5
MIX HGT (FT)....6000   1500   1500   400    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13   SE 15  SE 15  SE 10  SE 5   E 5
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     40     40     42     39     39
WEATHER COV.....AREAS                       S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     69     81     89     92     91
RH..............100    98     63     46     37     39
20 FT WIND......E 1    E 1    E 5    E 7    E 8    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1700   1700   4500   6600   6600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 2    E 5    E 5    E 7    E 9    E 9
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110610.IMPAS.02/JAX