FNUS75 KBOU 111123 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 523 AM MDT SAT JUN 11 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SOME SMALL HAIL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE UNDER A QUARTER INCH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS ABOUT 10% HIGHER. WINDS WILL BE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........72%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12800-13800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/11-05 1 3 1 43 62 S 8 13 3 1 W33 236 S 9 2018 P 06/11-06 21 2 0 43 62 S 8 13 3 1 W32 182 S 9 1501 P 06/11-07 21 2 0 45 58 S 8 14 3 1 W32 466 S10 4135 P 06/11-08 21 2 0 50 50 S 9 14 4 1 W31 751 S10 6769 P 06/11-09 21 2 0 54 43 S 9 15 4 1 SW29 1035 S10 9403 P 06/11-10 21 2 0 59 38 S 9 15 4 1 SW25 4564 S13 66569 G 06/11-11 21 2 0 62 35 S10 16 3 1 SW23 8092 SW15 123735 V 06/11-12 50 26 6 64 33 SW10 16 3 4 SW22 11621 SW18 180901 E 06/11-13 50 26 6 66 33 SW10 17 3 4 SW26 12043 SW20 202605 E 06/11-14 50 26 6 67 33 SW10 16 3 4 SW32 12464 SW21 224310 E 06/11-15 60 26 6 67 33 SW10 16 3 4 SW37 12886 SW22 246015 E 06/11-16 60 26 6 68 33 SW10 17 3 4 SW35 12275 SW21 223879 E 06/11-17 60 26 6 67 35 SW10 17 3 4 SW30 11665 SW20 201744 E 06/11-18 52 24 5 66 37 SW10 16 3 3 SW28 11054 SW18 179609 E 06/11-19 52 24 5 64 39 SW 8 14 3 3 SW30 7599 SW15 121174 V 06/11-20 52 24 5 60 44 S 6 6 3 3 SW33 4144 S12 62739 G 06/11-21 52 24 5 56 49 S 5 5 3 3 W37 688 S 7 4305 P 06/11-22 52 24 5 50 58 S 6 6 3 3 W38 516 S 8 3356 P 06/11-23 52 24 5 48 61 S 7 7 3 3 W39 344 SW 9 2408 P 06/12-00 37 8 2 47 62 S 8 13 3 1 W39 172 SW 9 1459 P 06/12-01 37 8 2 46 65 S 8 14 3 1 W38 167 SW 9 1412 P 06/12-02 37 8 2 45 67 SW 8 13 3 1 SW36 161 SW 9 1365 P 06/12-03 37 8 2 44 68 SW 8 13 3 1 SW36 156 SW 9 1318 P 06/12-04 37 8 2 43 70 SW 8 13 3 1 SW37 145 SW10 1236 P 06/12-05 37 8 2 42 71 SW 8 13 4 1 SW39 133 SW10 1154 P 06/12-06 32 0 0 42 72 SW 8 13 4 1 SW41 122 SW10 1072 P 06/12-07 32 0 0 51 49 SW 8 14 4 1 SW41 1434 SW13 20727 P 06/12-08 32 0 0 54 41 SW 9 15 4 1 SW40 2745 SW15 40381 F 06/12-09 32 0 0 59 33 SW10 16 4 1 SW39 4057 SW17 60035 G 06/12-10 32 0 0 63 28 SW10 16 4 1 SW38 6450 SW20 118342 V 06/12-11 32 0 0 66 24 SW12 17 3 1 SW37 8842 SW22 176648 E 06/12-12 28 10 2 69 21 SW12 17 3 2 SW35 11235 SW24 234955 E 06/12-13 28 10 2 70 20 SW12 18 3 2 SW31 12212 SW24 256419 E 06/12-14 28 10 2 70 19 SW13 18 3 2 SW26 13189 SW24 277884 E 06/12-15 28 10 2 71 18 W13 20 3 2 SW24 14166 SW24 299349 E 06/12-16 28 10 2 71 17 W14 20 3 2 SW24 13808 SW24 290388 E 06/12-17 28 10 2 71 17 W14 21 3 2 SW26 13449 SW24 281428 E 06/12-18 45 10 2 70 17 W14 21 3 2 SW28 13091 SW24 272468 E 06/12-19 45 10 2 67 18 W13 20 3 2 SW30 8970 W22 185622 E 06/12-20 45 10 2 63 21 W12 17 3 2 SW31 4850 W21 98777 G 06/12-21 45 10 2 57 25 W10 16 3 2 SW32 729 W18 11932 P 06/12-22 45 10 2 54 27 W 9 14 3 2 SW32 547 W16 8485 P 06/12-23 45 10 2 51 29 W 8 8 4 2 SW31 364 W13 5037 P 06/13-00 32 3 1 50 31 W 8 8 4 1 SW30 182 W10 1590 P 06/13-01 32 3 1 48 35 W 8 8 4 1 SW31 174 W 9 1478 P 06/13-02 32 3 1 47 39 W 8 8 4 1 SW33 167 W 9 1367 P 06/13-03 27 3 1 47 41 W 8 8 4 1 SW36 159 W 9 1256 P 06/13-04 27 3 1 46 45 W 9 9 4 1 W37 185 W 9 1372 P 06/13-05 27 3 1 45 48 SW 9 14 3 1 W37 211 SW 8 1488 P 06/13-06 18 6 1 45 48 SW10 16 3 1 W38 237 SW 8 1604 P 06/13-07 22 6 1 53 37 SW10 16 3 1 W38 1676 SW 9 17700 P 06/13-08 27 6 1 56 33 SW12 16 3 1 W37 3115 W12 33796 P 06/13-09 31 6 1 60 28 SW12 17 3 1 W37 4554 W13 49892 F 06/13-10 35 6 1 63 25 SW13 18 3 1 W36 7374 W16 116324 V 06/13-11 40 6 1 65 23 SW13 20 3 1 W36 10195 W18 182756 E 06/13-12 39 8 2 67 21 SW14 21 3 1 W33 13016 W22 249187 E 06/13-13 40 8 2 68 20 SW15 23 3 1 W30 13451 W22 253731 E 06/13-14 40 8 2 69 20 SW16 24 3 1 W26 13886 W22 258274 E 06/13-15 40 8 2 70 20 W17 26 3 1 W24 14321 W21 262818 E 06/13-16 40 8 2 69 21 W17 26 3 1 W23 13882 W21 253169 E 06/13-17 40 8 2 69 22 W17 26 3 1 W23 13442 W21 243521 E 06/13-18 40 8 2 68 24 W17 26 3 1 W24 13003 W21 233873 E 06/13-19 45 8 2 66 28 W16 24 3 1 W26 8937 W20 159955 E 06/13-20 42 8 2 62 33 W15 23 3 1 W28 4872 W18 86037 G 06/13-21 40 8 2 57 41 W14 21 3 1 W30 806 W17 12119 P 06/13-22 37 8 2 54 48 W13 18 3 1 W31 607 W16 8835 P 06/13-23 35 8 2 52 54 W12 17 3 1 W31 407 W14 5551 P 06/14-00 32 7 1 50 59 W10 16 3 1 W31 208 W13 2268 P 06/14-01 30 7 1 49 62 W10 15 3 1 W32 206 W12 2128 P 06/14-02 29 7 1 48 65 W 9 15 3 1 W33 204 W12 1988 P 06/14-03 29 7 1 48 63 W10 15 3 1 W35 202 W10 1848 P 06/14-04 29 7 1 47 64 W10 15 3 1 W36 198 W12 1893 P 06/14-05 27 7 1 46 64 W10 16 3 1 W37 193 W12 1937 P 06/14-06 25 7 1 47 62 W12 17 3 1 W38 189 W12 1982 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MATT CHAMPA REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110611.SHEEP.01/BOU