FNUS72 KMFL 111619 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR BC SEVERITY...SEMINOLE TRIBE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1219 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1143 EDT ON JUNE 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BAHAMAS HAS PUSHED DRIER AIR ALOFT OVER THE REGION. THIS ALLOWED WINDS TO TURN TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS HAVE SHIFTED BACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED PAST MIDNIGHT. DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTHWEST. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW 40S. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES. HOWEVER, WITH THE DRY AND WARM AIR ALOFT, CONFIDENCE HAS DECREASED IN GETTING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. LAL.................3. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....42. LVORI...............1. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM SKY (%).........60 60 60 65 65 65 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD S CHC S CHC TEMP............92 92 89 81 77 74 RH..............51 51 56 72 83 94 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 E 4 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 5 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6 E 4 E 4 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 15 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5000 5000 5000 700 500 500 MIXNG WIND......NE 14 NE 14 NE 14 NE 12 E 7 E 7 DISPERSION IDX..42 41 41 10 5 5 LVORI...........1 1 10 10 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 20 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 70. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....41 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............10. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 41. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110611.BCSEV.01/MFL