FNUS72 KMHX 111022 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 622 AM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0607 EDT ON JUNE 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE THROUGH TODAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE FIRE AREA. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY FOR THE BETTER PART OF THE DAY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A BETTER CHANCE OF STORMS COMES IN ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY SOUTHEASTWARD. WHERE SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOP... HEAVY RAIN IS A POSSIBILITY. THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH FOR MONDAY WITH MUCH DRIER AIR MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE AREA. TEMPS WILL BE WARM DURING THE DAY AND COOL AT NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK BEFORE ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN AND STORMS COMES IN FOR LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............37 34 35 35 35 38 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................73 76 80 83 84 83 RH..................88 80 68 61 61 64 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 S 9 S 11 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 23 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 46 44 42 40 38 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................81 79 78 76 75 74 RH..................69 73 79 83 84 88 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 12 S 12 S 12 S 11 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 20 20 20 20 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-7000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4200-5000 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............39 38 36 36 35 49 WEATHER COV.........AREAS SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 77 87 89 87 84 RH..................87 80 56 51 54 61 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 SW 9 SW 10 S 11 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 20 20 20 LVORI...............4 4 2 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110611.PAINS.01/MHX