FNUS72 KMHX 111955 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 355 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1546 EDT ON JUNE 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT AS A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO THE WEST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY...THEN CROSS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL STALL TO THE SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY AND MOVE INTO THE AREA SATURDAY. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............28 26 26 26 26 28 29 29 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................85 84 82 80 76 75 74 73 RH..................60 61 69 74 79 85 89 91 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 12 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 11 S 11 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 1 1 3 3 5 5 7 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............30 31 36 41 45 52 WEATHER COV.........AREAS S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................72 76 81 85 88 87 RH..................94 83 69 61 58 60 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 8 SW 7 SW 8 S 10 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............8 5 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING W 7 TO 13 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............61 68 76 87 95 79 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................84 78 74 72 72 72 RH..................66 79 88 93 90 84 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 11 S 11 S 9 SW 8 SW 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 15 15 10 15 LVORI...............1 3 5 5 5 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............59 42 37 31 25 24 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................72 73 80 81 81 78 RH..................80 78 58 53 51 54 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 8 NW 9 NW 10 N 11 N 11 N 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 15 LVORI...............4 4 2 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110611.PAINS.02/MHX