FNUS75 KPUB 112138
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CALLIE MARIE   BEAR SPRINGS...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
338 PM MDT SAT JUN 11 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 462 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

BIGGEST ISSUE TONIGHT FOR THE FIRE AREA WILL BE THE ISOLATED
CONVECTION DEVELOPING THROUGH THE EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS
WILL BE SEVERE...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL
UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...AND
WIND DIRECTION WILL BE ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO DISCERN...SO MAKE NOTE
ON STORM DEVELOPMENT. ONCE THE STORMS DIMINISH THIS
EVENING...WINDS WILL BE FROM THE W-SW.

TOMORROW...INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE
AREA...BRINGING IN DRIER AIR. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
11 AM UNTIL 9 PM FOR THES WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH COMBINING
WITH SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY LEVELS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN CLEARING
                    SKIES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-14 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93F.
MIN HUMIDITY........1-6 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST-SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 16-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    36 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 17500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1500.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    AROUND 27 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110611.CALLI.01/PUB