FNUS75 KPUB 111604
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELL FIRE...RICHARDSON IMT2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1004 AM MDT SAT JUN 11 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS PRODUCING SOME
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HAIL. HUMIDITY IS HIGH ENOUGH TODAY
AND THIS EVENING THAT MOST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WET...THOUGH
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL STILL BE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID-EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE INTO KANSAS BY LATE EVENING...WITH CLEARING SKIES AND
FAIR TO GOOD OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY.

VERY DRY AIR WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA SUNDAY...WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FALLING TO AROUND 5 PERCENT. EXPECT CURRENT FIRE
WEATHER WATCH TO BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(52 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 13-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(66 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(43 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 11-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95F.
MIN HUMIDITY........2-7 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 4-8 UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST 13-17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 17000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1400.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSEN
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110611.SHELL.01/PUB