FNAK79 PAFG 131321
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 247 MCCORD CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
521 AM AKDT MON JUN 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2127 AKDT ON JUNE 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE THERMAL TROUGH IS NOW NORTH OF THE FIRE. THE MOST MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR IS FOUND TO THE SOUTH OF THE TROUGH IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FIRE.  A FEW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE FIRE
TODAY WITH A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR RECEIVING A WETTING RAIN. BY AFTERNOON...
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR THE CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
OR TWO AS WELL.  NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THIS WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH A BIT DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. EXCELLENT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED AT NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-90 PERCENT) WITH A FEW SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND
                    INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH AFTER NOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL AFTER NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. WINDS
                    DIMINISHING TO 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...THEN 1 AFTER 2200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110612.247MC.01/AFG