FNUS75 KBOU 121541 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 930 AM MDT SUN JUN 12 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRIER AND WARMER AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TODAY. THERE WILL BE MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...WITH A LITTLE WIND MIXING DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL ONLY BE ISOLATED...WITH LIGHT RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN WEATHER WITH THE STORMS. SIMILAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. THE MAIN EFFECT WILL BE A BIT MORE WIND...THOUGH THERE MAY ALSO BE SLIGHT COOLING AND MOISTENING AND A SMALL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74 MIN HUMIDITY........13-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL RISING TO 12000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD AFTER 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45. MAX HUMIDITY........44-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 2200. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72. MIN HUMIDITY........18-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 7000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 12000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/12-09 9 0 0 56 32 S 8 13 4 1 SW28 1305 S10 11311 P 06/12-10 9 0 0 61 24 S10 16 4 1 SW28 4676 SW14 78884 G 06/12-11 9 0 0 65 19 SW12 20 4 1 SW28 8047 SW17 146457 V 06/12-12 30 10 2 68 16 SW14 22 4 2 SW28 11418 SW22 214030 E 06/12-13 30 10 2 70 15 SW15 24 4 2 SW28 12545 SW23 253856 E 06/12-14 30 10 2 71 14 SW16 25 3 2 SW28 13673 SW24 293683 E 06/12-15 30 10 2 72 14 SW16 25 3 2 SW28 14801 SW26 333509 E 06/12-16 30 10 2 72 14 SW16 26 3 2 SW29 14968 SW26 343789 E 06/12-17 30 10 2 71 15 W17 26 3 2 SW30 15135 SW26 354070 E 06/12-18 35 10 2 72 15 W16 25 3 2 SW31 15301 SW28 364350 E 06/12-19 35 10 2 69 16 W14 23 3 2 SW32 10534 SW24 248451 E 06/12-20 35 10 2 64 20 W12 18 3 2 SW33 5767 W22 132553 V 06/12-21 35 10 2 58 25 W 9 15 3 2 SW33 1000 W20 16654 P 06/12-22 35 10 2 54 29 W 8 13 3 2 SW35 732 W16 11616 P 06/12-23 35 10 2 51 32 W 7 7 3 2 SW36 465 W13 6579 P 06/13-00 38 3 1 50 35 W 7 7 3 1 SW35 197 W 9 1541 P 06/13-01 38 3 1 48 37 W 7 7 3 1 SW33 223 W 9 1657 P 06/13-02 38 3 1 46 41 W 7 7 3 1 SW32 248 W 8 1773 P 06/13-03 38 3 1 45 43 W 7 7 3 1 SW31 273 NW 8 1890 P 06/13-04 38 3 1 44 45 W 7 7 3 1 SW31 261 W 7 1614 P 06/13-05 38 3 1 43 47 W 6 6 3 1 W32 248 W 6 1338 P 06/13-06 26 6 1 43 47 W 6 6 3 1 W32 235 W 6 1063 P 06/13-07 26 6 1 53 34 SW 6 6 3 1 W33 3535 W10 58880 F 06/13-08 26 6 1 56 31 SW 5 5 3 1 W33 6835 W15 116697 V 06/13-09 26 6 1 60 26 SW 5 5 3 1 W35 10135 W20 174513 E 06/13-10 26 6 1 63 24 SW 6 6 3 1 W35 11094 W21 202267 E 06/13-11 26 6 1 65 22 SW 8 8 3 1 W36 12054 W22 230020 E 06/13-12 62 10 2 68 20 SW10 16 3 2 W35 13014 W23 257774 E 06/13-13 62 10 2 68 20 SW12 17 3 2 W32 13339 W22 254949 E 06/13-14 62 10 2 68 20 W12 17 3 2 W30 13664 W21 252125 E 06/13-15 62 19 4 69 20 W12 17 3 3 W26 13990 W21 249301 E 06/13-16 62 19 4 70 21 W12 17 3 3 W24 13780 W20 234539 E 06/13-17 62 19 4 69 22 W12 17 3 3 W22 13570 W18 219777 E 06/13-18 72 19 4 68 24 W12 17 3 3 W21 13360 W17 205016 E 06/13-19 72 19 4 66 27 W12 17 3 3 W23 9209 W17 141059 V 06/13-20 72 5 1 62 33 W10 16 3 1 SW26 5059 W17 77103 G 06/13-21 72 5 1 57 41 W10 16 3 1 SW29 908 W16 13147 P 06/13-22 72 5 1 55 47 W10 15 3 1 SW31 714 W16 10132 P 06/13-23 72 5 1 52 54 W10 15 3 1 SW31 520 W15 7117 P 06/14-00 35 5 1 51 57 W10 16 3 1 SW32 326 W15 4103 P 06/14-01 35 5 1 50 60 W10 15 3 1 W35 295 W14 3614 P 06/14-02 35 5 1 48 63 W10 15 3 1 W37 264 W14 3124 P 06/14-03 18 5 1 48 63 W10 16 3 1 W39 233 W13 2635 P 06/14-04 18 7 1 47 64 W10 16 3 1 W43 250 W14 3136 P 06/14-05 18 7 1 46 63 W12 17 2 1 W46 267 W15 3638 P 06/14-06 24 7 1 47 62 W13 20 2 1 W47 284 W17 4139 P 06/14-07 24 7 1 54 48 W14 21 2 1 W47 2953 W22 80173 G 06/14-08 24 7 1 56 45 W15 22 2 1 W46 5622 W28 156208 E 06/14-09 24 7 1 60 40 W16 24 2 1 W43 8291 W32 232242 E 06/14-10 24 7 1 62 37 W17 26 2 1 W39 8970 W31 241771 E 06/14-11 24 10 2 64 34 W18 29 2 2 NW36 9650 W30 251301 E 06/14-12 45 10 2 66 31 W20 30 2 2 NW33 10330 W29 260831 E 06/14-13 45 10 2 66 30 W20 29 2 2 NW31 10542 W28 256023 E 06/14-14 45 10 2 66 30 W18 28 2 2 NW30 10754 W26 251215 E 06/14-15 52 10 2 67 29 W17 26 2 2 NW29 10967 W25 246407 E 06/14-16 52 10 2 67 28 W18 26 2 2 NW29 10642 W25 232419 E 06/14-17 52 10 2 67 28 W18 28 2 2 NW28 10317 W24 218430 E 06/14-18 56 10 2 66 29 W18 28 2 2 NW28 9993 W23 204442 E 06/14-19 56 10 2 64 31 W15 23 2 2 NW26 7992 W22 157114 E 06/14-20 56 5 1 61 35 W12 17 2 1 NW25 5991 W20 109785 V 06/14-21 56 5 1 57 41 W 8 8 2 1 NW24 3990 W18 62457 G 06/14-22 56 5 1 54 45 W 7 7 2 1 NW24 2759 W15 42442 F 06/14-23 56 5 1 52 48 W 8 8 2 1 W23 1528 W13 22426 P 06/15-00 12 5 1 51 51 W 8 8 2 1 W24 297 W 9 2411 P 06/15-01 12 0 0 50 53 W 7 7 2 1 W25 296 W 8 2184 P 06/15-02 12 0 0 49 56 SW 6 6 2 1 W26 294 SW 8 1957 P 06/15-03 12 0 0 48 58 SW 6 6 2 1 W26 293 SW 7 1729 P 06/15-04 12 0 0 48 59 SW 7 7 2 1 W26 270 SW 8 1767 P 06/15-05 12 0 0 47 61 W 8 8 2 1 W26 247 W 8 1805 P 06/15-06 5 4 1 48 60 W 9 14 2 1 NW25 225 W 9 1843 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110612.SHEEP.01/BOU