FNUS75 KPUB 121308
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CALLIE MARIE   BEAR SPRINGS...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
708 AM MDT SUN JUN 12 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...LOW STRATUS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING WITH THE WEAK UPSLOPE
REGIME AND MOISTURE ACROSS THE PLAINS AT THE BURN SITE.  EXPECT DRY AIR
AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO BEGIN MIXING INTO LAS ANIMAS COUNTY THIS
MORNING WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS BY MID MORNING.  AS THE SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS DEVELOP...HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RAPIDLY FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW KEEPING
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES POOR FOR TONIGHT AND DROPPING TO THE SINGLE DIGITS
BY MID MORNING TOMORROW.  WINDS WILL BE A BIT WEAKER BUT WILL STILL
GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH.  DRY AND HOT WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE POOR THIS MORNING BEFORE BECOMING EXCELLENT
BY LATE MORNING AS MIXING INCREASES AND LOW LEVEL CLOUDS DISSIPATE.
EXPECT POOR DISPERSALS OVERNIGHT WITH A RETURN TO EXCELLENT DISPERSALS
FOR MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........OVERCAST THIS MORNING BECOMING SUNNY BY 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-5 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 19500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40
                    MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......19000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97F.
MIN HUMIDITY........3 TO 8 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH AFTER 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 19500 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110612.CALLI.01/PUB