FNUS75 KBOU 131545 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 945 AM MDT MON JUN 13 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RELATIVELY WARM AND DRY DAY TODAY WITH SOME WIND IN THE AFTERNOON. ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED...MOST LIKELY ASSOCIATED WEATHER WOULD BE LIGHT RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. A LITTLE COOLER BEHIND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ON TUESDAY...THEN DRY AND WARMER AGAIN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...AND BREEZY AT TIMES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 4-8 M PH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7-13 MPH AFTER 1200. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL BT 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER 1000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 12000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/13-09 29 6 1 55 29 S 3 3 3 1 SW39 2896 SW 9 21913 P 06/13-10 29 6 1 60 24 S 6 6 3 1 SW37 6108 SW14 97597 G 06/13-11 29 6 1 63 21 SW 8 13 3 1 SW35 9320 SW18 173280 E 06/13-12 48 10 2 65 20 SW10 16 3 2 W31 12531 W23 248963 E 06/13-13 48 10 2 67 18 SW10 17 3 2 SW28 12855 W22 244958 E 06/13-14 48 10 2 67 17 SW10 17 3 2 SW25 13178 W21 240953 E 06/13-15 48 19 4 68 17 SW10 16 3 3 SW24 13501 W21 236948 E 06/13-16 48 19 4 68 17 SW10 17 3 3 SW23 12927 W21 229001 E 06/13-17 48 19 4 68 17 W12 18 3 3 SW24 12353 W21 221054 E 06/13-18 56 19 4 67 18 W12 18 3 3 W25 11780 W21 213107 E 06/13-19 56 19 4 65 21 W10 17 3 3 SW26 8962 W21 160436 E 06/13-20 56 10 2 62 26 W10 16 3 2 SW28 6144 W20 107764 V 06/13-21 56 10 2 59 33 W 9 15 3 2 SW30 3326 W20 55092 F 06/13-22 56 10 2 56 41 W 9 15 3 2 SW33 2657 W17 41880 F 06/13-23 56 10 2 54 48 W 9 15 3 2 SW37 1988 W15 28667 P 06/14-00 35 10 2 53 54 W 9 15 3 2 W39 1320 W14 15455 P 06/14-01 35 10 2 52 57 W 9 15 3 2 W41 1016 W14 12114 P 06/14-02 35 2 0 50 60 W 9 15 3 1 W41 712 W15 8773 P 06/14-03 35 2 0 49 60 W 9 15 3 1 W43 409 W15 5433 P 06/14-04 35 2 0 48 61 W 9 15 3 1 W44 458 W17 7114 P 06/14-05 35 2 0 48 61 W10 17 2 1 W44 508 W20 8796 P 06/14-06 24 5 1 48 59 W12 18 2 1 W44 558 W22 10478 P 06/14-07 24 5 1 55 45 W13 21 2 1 W43 2908 W26 89078 G 06/14-08 24 5 1 57 43 W15 23 2 1 W40 5258 W32 167677 E 06/14-09 24 5 1 60 40 W16 25 2 1 W38 7607 W37 246277 E 06/14-10 24 5 1 62 37 W17 26 2 1 W38 8661 W37 277765 E 06/14-11 24 5 1 64 34 W18 29 2 1 W39 9714 W37 309253 E 06/14-12 45 5 1 65 31 W20 30 2 1 W40 10768 W37 340741 E 06/14-13 45 5 1 66 30 W20 29 2 1 W40 11136 W36 343878 E 06/14-14 45 10 2 66 29 W18 28 3 2 W39 11503 W35 347015 E 06/14-15 52 10 2 67 29 W17 26 3 2 W38 11871 W33 350152 E 06/14-16 52 10 2 67 28 W18 26 3 2 W39 11485 W35 341351 E 06/14-17 52 10 2 67 28 W18 28 2 2 NW39 11100 W35 332550 E 06/14-18 56 5 1 66 29 W18 28 2 1 NW40 10714 W35 323748 E 06/14-19 56 5 1 64 31 W15 23 2 1 NW40 7788 W32 230198 E 06/14-20 56 5 1 60 36 W12 17 3 1 NW41 4862 W29 136648 V 06/14-21 56 5 1 54 44 W 8 8 3 1 NW41 1936 W25 43098 F 06/14-22 56 5 1 51 50 W 7 7 3 1 NW40 1394 W22 30038 P 06/14-23 56 5 1 49 55 W 8 8 4 1 NW39 851 W18 16979 P 06/15-00 12 0 0 48 58 W 8 8 4 1 NW38 308 W15 3920 P 06/15-01 12 0 0 46 62 W 7 7 4 1 NW38 278 W13 3110 P 06/15-02 12 0 0 44 68 SW 6 6 4 1 NW38 248 W10 2300 P 06/15-03 12 0 0 43 71 SW 6 6 4 1 NW38 218 W 8 1491 P 06/15-04 12 0 0 42 75 SW 7 7 4 1 NW37 215 W 9 1723 P 06/15-05 12 0 0 41 77 W 8 8 4 1 NW36 212 W10 1956 P 06/15-06 5 4 1 42 75 W 9 14 4 1 NW36 209 W12 2188 P 06/15-07 5 4 1 55 46 W10 15 4 1 NW35 2467 W17 54209 F 06/15-08 5 4 1 58 40 W10 15 4 1 NW35 4726 W22 106231 V 06/15-09 5 4 1 63 34 W10 16 4 1 NW35 6984 W26 158252 E 06/15-10 5 4 1 66 30 W10 16 3 1 NW33 8651 W25 186803 E 06/15-11 5 4 1 69 27 W10 16 3 1 W33 10317 W24 215354 E 06/15-12 20 10 2 72 24 W10 16 2 2 W33 11984 W23 243906 E 06/15-13 20 10 2 73 24 W10 16 2 2 W33 12290 W23 242796 E 06/15-14 20 10 2 73 24 W10 16 3 2 W32 12597 W22 241687 E 06/15-15 20 10 2 74 24 W10 16 3 2 W32 12904 W22 240578 E 06/15-16 20 10 2 74 24 W10 16 3 2 W31 12727 W22 242605 E 06/15-17 20 10 2 74 24 W10 16 3 2 W31 12551 W23 244632 E 06/15-18 25 5 1 73 25 W10 16 3 1 W30 12374 W23 246659 E 06/15-19 25 5 1 71 27 W 9 15 3 1 W30 8994 W22 177448 E 06/15-20 25 5 1 67 32 W 9 9 4 1 W30 5614 W21 108236 V 06/15-21 25 5 1 61 38 W 8 8 4 1 W30 2234 W20 39025 P 06/15-22 25 5 1 59 43 W 8 8 4 1 W30 1564 W16 26633 P 06/15-23 25 5 1 56 47 SW 7 7 3 1 W31 894 SW13 14242 P 06/16-00 18 5 1 55 49 SW 7 7 3 1 W33 223 SW 9 1851 P 06/16-01 18 5 1 54 51 SW 7 7 3 1 W35 198 SW 9 1594 P 06/16-02 18 5 1 51 54 SW 7 7 3 1 W37 173 SW 9 1337 P 06/16-03 18 5 1 50 55 SW 7 7 3 1 W38 147 SW 8 1080 P 06/16-04 18 5 1 49 57 SW 7 7 3 1 W39 144 SW 9 1127 P 06/16-05 18 5 1 48 58 W 8 8 3 1 W39 140 SW 9 1174 P 06/16-06 35 5 1 49 57 W 9 14 3 1 W39 136 SW10 1221 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110613.SHEEP.01/BOU