FNUS72 KJAX 131127 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA- FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 727 AM EDT MON JUN 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0717 EDT ON JUNE 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BRIEFLY DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA ALONG WITH ERC VALUES OF 35 TO 40 AND WIND GUSTS OVER 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DRIFT INTO THE FORECAST AREA EARLY TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....43. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........48 31 31 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 88 96 100 99 96 RH..............100 69 46 36 36 45 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 7 W 8 W 10 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1900 4900 7900 7900 6100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 NW 9 NW 8 W 9 W 9 W 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 40 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........55 52 52 52 30 30 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............94 87 80 77 75 72 RH..............45 58 74 85 97 100 20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 8 SW 7 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6100 4300 4300 2300 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 SW 17 SW 17 W 17 W 14 W 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 10 10 LAL.............3 2 2 2 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-7700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....87. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...WOLF REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110613.IMPAS.01/JAX