FNUS72 KJAX 131702
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTA FE SWAMP FIRE...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
102 PM EDT MON JUN 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1246 EDT ON JUNE 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RH VALUES WILL BRIEFLY DROP TO NER 35 PERCENT ALONG WITH
ERC VALUES OF 35 TO 40 AND WIND GUSTS OVER 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-7100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........30     55     55
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............97     98     97
RH..............45     38     40
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 12   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   7100   7100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 9    W 14
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     40     40
LAL.............1      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     56     56     56     17     17
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............92     86     80     78     75     73
RH..............44     58     75     85     95     100
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 12   SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5600   4200   4200   2300   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   SW 18  SW 18  W 18   W 15   W 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............3      2      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-7500 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....74.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...LETRO
REQUESTED BY...DO BRYANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110613.SANTA.01/JAX