FNUS75 KPUB 141735
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MESA DE MAYA FIRE...RICHARDSONS TYPE 2 IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1135 AM MDT TUE JUN 14 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT LIGHTER DIURNAL TERRAIN WINDS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IN THE VICINITY. IF THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP...THEY ARE EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
THURSDAY BRINGS A RETURN OF POSSIBLE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AS THE FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS TO A MORE SOUTHWEST DIRECTION
AND INCREASES. DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO MOVE BACK INTO THE
AREA...DROPPING RH LEVELS DOWN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 2-4 MPH THROUGH 0800...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
                    5-9 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    7-12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1900...BECOMING
                    NORTH 2-5 MPH AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 2-4 MPH THROUGH 0800...THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    5-9 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110613.MESAD.01/PUB