FNUS75 KBOU 141350 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 749 AM MDT TUE JUN 14 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY IN THE WAKE AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRY AND RELATIVELY SUBSIDENT SO NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. IT WILL REMAIN DRY BUT WARMER ON WEDNESDAY WITH LESS WIND THAN TODAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-68. MIN HUMIDITY........17-21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-42. MAX HUMIDITY........74-77%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-74. MIN HUMIDITY........17-21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12400-13400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/14-07 36 3 1 54 43 W14 22 3 1 W31 4562 W30 127486 V 06/14-08 36 3 1 57 39 W15 25 4 1 W32 6413 W32 192871 E 06/14-09 36 3 1 60 35 W17 28 5 1 NW33 8265 W36 258256 E 06/14-10 36 3 1 62 32 W18 29 5 1 NW36 9663 W36 304563 E 06/14-11 36 3 1 63 30 W18 29 4 1 NW38 11062 W37 350870 E 06/14-12 33 7 1 65 28 W18 30 3 1 NW39 12461 W37 397177 E 06/14-13 33 7 1 65 28 W20 31 3 1 NW40 12248 NW36 377127 E 06/14-14 33 7 1 65 28 W21 32 2 1 NW40 12036 NW35 357077 E 06/14-15 33 7 1 66 28 W21 33 2 1 NW40 11823 NW33 337027 E 06/14-16 33 7 1 66 28 W21 33 2 1 NW38 11608 NW32 324299 E 06/14-17 33 7 1 66 28 W21 33 2 1 NW37 11393 NW31 311570 E 06/14-18 46 7 1 65 30 W20 31 2 1 NW36 11178 W31 298842 E 06/14-19 46 7 1 62 33 W17 28 2 1 NW36 7661 W28 202854 E 06/14-20 46 5 1 58 38 W14 22 2 1 NW36 4144 W23 106866 V 06/14-21 46 5 1 53 47 W12 18 2 1 NW36 628 W20 10879 P 06/14-22 46 5 1 50 52 W10 17 2 1 NW35 497 W18 8211 P 06/14-23 46 5 1 47 57 W10 17 3 1 NW33 366 W16 5542 P 06/15-00 6 0 0 46 60 W10 16 3 1 NW32 235 W14 2874 P 06/15-01 6 0 0 45 65 W 9 15 3 1 W32 218 W13 2506 P 06/15-02 6 0 0 43 70 W 8 14 3 1 W32 201 W12 2138 P 06/15-03 6 0 0 42 75 W 8 13 3 1 W33 184 W12 1770 P 06/15-04 6 0 0 41 78 W 8 14 3 1 W33 182 W12 1870 P 06/15-05 6 0 0 40 81 W 9 15 2 1 W33 180 W13 1970 P 06/15-06 5 0 0 41 78 W10 16 2 1 NW33 178 W14 2070 P 06/15-07 5 0 0 54 47 W10 17 2 1 NW32 2500 W17 55411 F 06/15-08 5 0 0 58 40 W10 17 3 1 W31 4821 W22 108753 V 06/15-09 5 0 0 63 33 W10 16 3 1 W30 7142 W26 162095 E 06/15-10 5 0 0 66 28 W10 16 3 1 W30 8974 W25 200412 E 06/15-11 5 0 0 69 26 W12 16 2 1 W30 10805 W25 238729 E 06/15-12 22 6 1 72 23 W12 17 2 1 W31 12637 W25 277046 E 06/15-13 22 6 1 72 23 W12 17 3 1 W31 12980 W26 292541 E 06/15-14 22 6 1 73 23 W13 18 3 1 W31 13323 W26 308035 E 06/15-15 22 6 1 74 23 W13 20 4 1 W32 13666 W28 323529 E 06/15-16 22 6 1 74 23 W14 21 4 1 W33 13341 W29 326834 E 06/15-17 22 6 1 74 23 W15 22 3 1 W36 13016 W29 330140 E 06/15-18 22 1 0 73 24 W15 23 3 1 W38 12690 W30 333445 E 06/15-19 22 1 0 70 26 W14 21 3 1 W40 9474 W29 245036 E 06/15-20 22 1 0 66 31 W12 18 3 1 W43 6257 W28 156627 E 06/15-21 22 1 0 60 39 W10 16 3 1 W45 3040 W25 68218 G 06/15-22 22 1 0 57 43 W 9 14 3 1 W48 2103 W22 46288 F 06/15-23 22 1 0 55 46 SW 9 9 3 1 W52 1166 SW17 24359 P 06/16-00 18 2 0 53 48 SW 9 14 3 1 W54 228 SW13 2429 P 06/16-01 18 2 0 52 50 SW10 15 3 1 W55 214 SW13 2261 P 06/16-02 18 2 0 50 53 W12 16 3 1 W55 199 W13 2094 P 06/16-03 18 2 0 49 56 W12 17 3 1 W55 184 W12 1926 P 06/16-04 18 2 0 48 58 W10 15 3 1 W55 179 W12 1737 P 06/16-05 18 2 0 47 60 W 9 9 3 1 W54 173 W10 1548 P 06/16-06 32 2 0 48 60 W 8 8 3 1 W52 168 W 9 1360 P 06/16-07 32 2 0 56 45 W10 15 3 1 W45 1592 W18 46886 F 06/16-08 32 2 0 59 43 W13 20 3 1 W39 3017 W26 92412 G 06/16-09 32 2 0 63 40 W15 23 3 1 W36 4441 W36 137938 V 06/16-10 32 2 0 65 39 W15 22 3 1 W43 5487 W33 154289 E 06/16-11 32 2 0 67 38 W13 20 3 1 W51 6533 SW31 170640 E 06/16-12 63 23 5 69 36 W10 16 3 3 SW58 7579 SW29 186992 E 06/16-13 63 23 5 69 36 W 7 7 3 3 SW56 8287 SW26 183999 E 06/16-14 63 23 5 69 35 W 5 5 3 3 SW52 8996 SW23 181007 E 06/16-15 63 23 5 70 33 W 2 2 3 3 SW47 9704 SW21 178015 E 06/16-16 63 23 5 70 32 W 3 3 3 3 SW44 9188 SW20 158958 E 06/16-17 63 23 5 70 31 SW 6 6 3 3 SW41 8672 S18 139900 V 06/16-18 42 8 2 69 31 SW 7 7 3 1 SW40 8156 S17 120843 V 06/16-19 42 8 2 67 32 W 5 5 3 1 SW38 7029 S15 97450 G 06/16-20 42 8 2 64 36 NW 2 2 2 1 SW37 5902 S14 74057 G 06/16-21 42 8 2 59 42 CALM 0 2 1 W38 4775 S13 50664 F 06/16-22 42 8 2 57 45 CALM 1 2 1 W45 3493 S13 37359 P 06/16-23 42 8 2 55 49 W 5 5 3 1 W53 2211 SW13 24054 P 06/17-00 31 5 1 53 52 SW 7 7 3 1 W58 930 SW14 10750 P 06/17-01 31 5 1 52 54 SW 7 7 3 1 W56 881 SW14 10233 P 06/17-02 31 5 1 50 57 S 7 7 3 1 W53 833 S14 9717 P 06/17-03 31 5 1 49 59 S 7 7 3 1 W49 784 S14 9201 P 06/17-04 31 5 1 49 60 S 7 7 3 1 W49 790 S13 8498 P 06/17-05 31 5 1 48 62 SW 8 8 2 1 W51 795 S12 7794 P 06/17-06 28 5 1 49 62 SW 8 13 2 1 W52 800 SW10 7091 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110614.SHEEP.01/BOU