FNUS72 KJAX 150104 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA- FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 904 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2045 EDT ON JUNE 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RHS AND HIGH ERC AND DISPERSION VALUES... .DISCUSSION...OUTFLOWS FROM EVENING CONVECTION SW OF THE FIRE SITE MOVED ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH LAST HOUR. THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL INTERSECT THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE FRONT SOON NORTHEAST OF THE FIRE SITE AND MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL OUTFLOWS IF CONVECTION DEVELOPS. AS OUTFLOWS AND THE SEA BREEZE BECOME DIFFUSE OVER THE AREA...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE...WHILE WINDS ABOVE 2000 KFT WILL CONTINUE FROM THE NW. WEDNESDAY...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE WITH A LOW CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE MAY PUSH INLAND DURING THE EVENING WHILE WEAKENING...AND WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AROUND THUNDERSTORMS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 1 TO 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....1. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........30 30 30 20 20 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP............91 83 78 73 71 RH..............56 67 80 91 97 20 FT WIND......NW 6 SW 2 S 1 SW 0 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1700 1000 300 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 NE 7 NE 7 S 2 SE 2 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....78. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........20 20 20 20 50 50 WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............69 74 88 96 100 99 RH..............100 93 56 39 31 32 20 FT WIND......W 0 NW 1 NW 6 N 9 NW 10 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1700 1700 5300 8900 8900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 1 W 3 W 3 W 7 NW 15 NW 15 LAL.............1 1 1 1 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ENYEDI REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110614.IMPAS.03/JAX