FNUS74 KMAF 142235
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARRASCO...NM ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
535 PM CDT TUE JUN 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1608 MDT ON JUNE 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
AM SURPRISED BY THE NORTHEAST WIND DIRECTION LISTED IN THE
OBSERVATION...NO OTHER SITES ARE SHOWING ANYTHING OTHER THAN WEST
OR NORTHWEST SO IF THE NORTHEAST DIRECTION IS NOT IN ERROR...THEN
IT SHOULD BE VERY BRIEF. WINDS SHOULD BE WESTERLY 10 TO 20 MPH
UNTIL THE SUN SETS THEN SHOULD DIMINISH BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST
AND NORTHERLY TONIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT WILL BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE PECOS RIVER
VALLEY MEANING WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE LIGHT. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........21 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (240000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............106    97     86     82     77     71
RH..............3      4      7      9      12     16
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..19     16     12     10     10     11
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....15000  15000  BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      NW     NW     NW
TRANS WIND SPD..16     16     11     7      7      7
VENT CAT........EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      6      6      5

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (93700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0      0      0      10     10     10
TEMP............65     75     87     97     101    103
RH..............21     15     11     8      7      7
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      N      NNE    NE     E
20 FT WIND SPD..11     11     11     10     9      8
20 FT WIND GUST.                            10
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 2000   14000  14000  15500
TRANS WIND DIR..N      N      N      NW     NW     W
TRANS WIND SPD..8      8      9      7      7      6
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   POOR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$

FORECASTER...HENNIG
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110614.CARRA.01/MAF