FNUS72 KMFL 142126
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONKEY FARM...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
526 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1707 EDT ON JUNE 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL DRIVE THE FIRE AND SMOKE
FROM THE FIRE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS NIGHT COMES ON...THE UPPER WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE BUT THE SURFACE WINDS WILL DECREASE BUT REMAIN NORTHWEST. AFTER
800 PM WINDS WILL BE NEAR CALM BUT A LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW SHOULD REDEVELOP
AND LOW LEVEL SMOKE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS ALLIGATOR ALLEY. AT THE PRESENT
TIME IT APPEARS THAT ALL RAINFALL WILL BE EAST OF THE FIRE. BUT IF SOME
RAIN FALLS ON OE NEAR THE FIRE AREA...THE FOG COULD MIX WITH THE FOG AND
DROP VISIBILITY DRASTICALLY.

EAST
.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........60     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............94     87     81     76     75     73
RH..............47     61     77     90     94     97
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 6    W 6    W 4    W 2    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 7    W 6    W 6    W 4    W 2    W 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     10     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 700    700    500    300    300
MIXNG WIND......W 17   W 10   W 10   W 7    W 5    W 5
DISPERSION IDX..52     9      9      4      2      2
LVORI...........7      7      7      7      7      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      3      3      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...LT  SAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110614.MONKE.02/MFL