FNUS72 KMHX 141954 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 353 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1548 EDT ON JUNE 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND PASS THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY AND WILL BECOME STATIONARY JUST TO THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY. IT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............27 25 27 29 31 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 77 73 69 66 65 RH..................48 49 58 69 78 81 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 8 N 6 N 5 N 5 N 4 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 LVORI...............1 1 2 3 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 4 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6100-7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............31 31 36 42 46 44 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................65 71 78 78 78 78 RH..................81 70 53 51 51 51 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 7 NW 8 N 9 N 8 N 8 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 3 2 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............41 38 43 50 55 58 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 71 68 66 65 64 RH..................57 67 76 83 88 94 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 8 NE 8 E 5 SE 4 SE 3 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 5 6 8 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............62 65 71 79 85 81 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................63 67 74 79 82 81 RH..................99 89 75 63 59 60 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 5 S 6 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 20 20 LVORI...............9 6 4 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...AUSTIN REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110614.PAINS.02/MHX