FNUS74 KBMX 152043 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HARD ROCK HILL FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 343 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1539 CDT ON JUNE 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HOT AND FAIRLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DRP INTO THE 30 PERCENTS EACH DAY. THE BEST THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COME TONIGHT AND THEN DROP TO ISOLATED EACH DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...20 FOOT WINDS REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT WITH TRANSPORT WINDS AROUND 10. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE TEMP............92 86 81 79 77 75 RH..............40 53 67 71 75 80 20 FT WIND......SW 6 S 3 SE 1 E 0 E 0 S 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2100 300 200 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 SW 5 SW 3 NW 3 W 3 S 2 DISPERSION......18 12 2 2 2 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-10900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 87 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 80 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 52. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 81 89 95 95 95 RH..............82 69 56 42 38 36 20 FT WIND......S 1 SW 2 SW 3 W 5 W 6 W 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1600 5400 9300 10900 9800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 3 S 7 SW 12 W 9 W 8 W 7 DISPERSION......2 3 5 84 80 65 $$ FORECASTER...LAWS REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110615.HARDR.02/BMX