FNUS75 KBOU 152319 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR AVC HELI TRAINING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 520 PM MDT WED JUN 15 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND EVEN MORE SO ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE DECREASING LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS WELL...WHILE MOUNTAIN TOP WINDS SHIFT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 20-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1200 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10400-11400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR AVC HELI TRAINING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/15-17 27 4 1 56 19 W20 30 4 1 W46 9596 W31 258518 E 06/15-18 52 5 1 55 21 W18 30 4 1 W46 9424 W31 258252 E 06/15-19 52 5 1 53 23 W16 26 4 1 W48 6373 W25 173266 E 06/15-20 52 5 1 50 27 W14 22 4 1 W49 3322 W20 88279 G 06/15-21 52 5 1 46 33 W12 18 4 1 W52 271 W14 3293 P 06/15-22 52 5 1 44 37 W10 16 4 1 W52 238 W13 2647 P 06/15-23 52 5 1 42 41 W 9 14 4 1 W51 206 W10 2000 P 06/16-00 51 10 2 41 45 SW 8 13 4 1 W51 173 W 9 1354 P 06/16-01 51 10 2 39 49 W 8 13 4 1 W49 170 W 8 1266 P 06/16-02 51 10 2 38 53 W 8 14 4 1 W48 167 W 8 1178 P 06/16-03 51 10 2 37 56 W 9 15 4 1 W48 164 W 8 1090 P 06/16-04 51 10 2 36 58 W 9 16 4 1 W48 164 W 8 1115 P 06/16-05 51 10 2 36 58 W10 16 4 1 W48 164 W 8 1139 P 06/16-06 50 10 2 36 56 W10 16 4 1 W49 164 W 8 1164 P 06/16-07 50 10 2 38 47 W 9 16 4 1 W51 721 W 9 6555 P 06/16-08 50 10 2 43 36 SW 9 15 4 1 W52 1278 SW10 11946 P 06/16-09 50 10 2 47 28 S 9 15 4 1 W52 1836 S10 17337 P 06/16-10 50 10 2 51 21 SW12 17 4 1 SW51 4588 SW17 96024 G 06/16-11 50 10 2 54 18 SW13 21 4 1 SW49 7340 SW23 174711 E 06/16-12 70 24 5 56 16 SW15 24 4 3 SW48 10093 SW29 253398 E 06/16-13 70 24 5 57 15 SW15 24 4 3 SW47 10555 SW29 261436 E 06/16-14 70 24 5 58 15 SW15 23 4 3 SW46 11018 SW28 269474 E 06/16-15 70 24 5 59 16 SW14 22 4 3 SW45 11481 SW28 277512 E 06/16-16 70 24 5 59 19 SW14 22 4 3 SW46 11061 SW26 258246 E 06/16-17 70 24 5 59 24 SW14 22 4 3 SW46 10641 SW25 238980 E 06/16-18 64 25 5 58 30 SW14 22 4 3 SW46 10221 SW24 219714 E 06/16-19 64 25 5 56 35 SW14 21 4 3 SW45 7196 SW18 148829 V 06/16-20 64 25 5 52 40 SW13 20 4 3 SW44 4170 SW13 77945 G 06/16-21 54 25 5 49 45 SW12 18 4 3 SW43 1145 SW 7 7060 P 06/16-22 54 25 5 45 52 SW15 24 4 3 SW38 677 SW10 4594 P 06/16-23 54 25 5 43 58 SW20 32 4 3 SW36 434 SW15 3889 P 06/17-00 54 10 2 43 58 SW24 39 4 1 SW35 192 SW20 3183 P 06/17-01 54 10 2 42 60 SW26 41 4 1 SW40 204 SW20 3454 P 06/17-02 54 10 2 40 66 SW26 41 3 1 SW47 216 SW20 3725 P 06/17-03 54 10 2 39 67 W25 40 3 1 SW54 228 W21 3996 P 06/17-04 54 10 2 38 68 W23 37 3 1 SW58 585 W20 10215 P 06/17-05 54 10 2 37 69 W21 32 3 1 SW59 943 W20 16434 P 06/17-06 55 5 1 39 65 W18 30 3 1 W59 1300 W20 22653 P 06/17-07 55 5 1 38 66 W20 30 3 1 W58 2785 W26 83217 G 06/17-08 55 5 1 43 54 W21 33 2 1 W54 4270 W33 143780 V 06/17-09 55 5 1 50 41 W22 35 2 1 W52 5756 W41 204344 E 06/17-10 55 5 1 54 35 SW22 35 2 1 W51 7041 W40 240637 E 06/17-11 55 5 1 56 31 SW21 33 2 1 W51 8327 W39 276930 E 06/17-12 59 10 2 58 29 SW21 33 2 2 W51 9613 W38 313224 E 06/17-13 59 10 2 59 28 SW22 36 2 2 SW49 10274 W36 320399 E 06/17-14 59 10 2 60 27 SW24 38 3 2 SW48 10936 SW35 327573 E 06/17-15 59 10 2 60 27 SW23 37 3 2 SW48 11597 SW33 334748 E 06/17-16 59 10 2 60 27 S17 28 3 2 SW53 11459 SW35 347287 E 06/17-17 59 10 2 59 28 S 9 15 3 2 SW58 11321 SW37 359826 E 06/17-18 58 10 2 59 28 SE 3 3 3 2 SW62 11183 SW38 372365 E 06/17-19 58 10 2 58 28 SE 2 2 3 2 SW63 8707 SW31 266264 E 06/17-20 58 10 2 53 34 SE 5 5 4 2 SW63 6231 SW24 160163 E 06/17-21 58 10 2 49 39 S 7 7 4 2 SW62 3754 S16 54063 F 06/17-22 58 10 2 45 45 S 8 13 4 2 SW61 2968 S15 41399 F 06/17-23 58 10 2 42 49 S 9 15 3 2 SW60 2181 SE14 28735 P 06/18-00 46 5 1 43 47 S10 16 3 1 SW56 1395 SE14 16071 P 06/18-01 46 5 1 42 46 S12 18 3 1 SW52 1477 SE13 16014 P 06/18-02 46 5 1 39 47 SW13 20 3 1 SW47 1559 S12 15957 P 06/18-03 46 5 1 38 45 W14 22 3 1 SW43 1640 S12 15900 P 06/18-04 46 5 1 38 44 W16 25 3 1 SW43 1830 S15 24942 P 06/18-05 46 5 1 37 45 SW17 28 3 1 SW44 2019 SW18 33985 P 06/18-06 43 5 1 38 42 SW18 30 3 1 SW45 2208 SW22 43028 F 06/18-07 43 5 1 37 45 SW17 28 3 1 SW44 3902 SW25 90983 G 06/18-08 43 5 1 42 37 SW15 24 3 1 SW41 5595 SW28 138939 V 06/18-09 43 5 1 50 28 SW14 22 3 1 SW39 7289 SW30 186894 E 06/18-10 43 5 1 55 23 SW16 26 3 1 SW36 9272 W29 230764 E 06/18-11 43 5 1 58 20 SW20 31 3 1 SW33 11255 W29 274635 E 06/18-12 68 19 4 59 18 SW22 35 3 3 SW31 13237 W28 318505 E 06/18-13 68 19 4 61 17 SW21 33 3 3 SW31 14283 W28 348332 E 06/18-14 68 19 4 62 17 SW18 30 3 3 SW31 15329 SW29 378159 E 06/18-15 68 19 4 62 18 SW16 25 3 3 SW32 16374 SW29 407985 E 06/18-16 68 19 4 62 18 SW15 24 3 3 SW32 16422 SW29 411559 E 06/18-17 68 19 4 61 19 W15 23 4 3 SW32 16469 SW29 415132 E 06/18-18 68 19 4 61 20 W14 22 4 3 SW32 16517 SW29 418706 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110615.AVCHE.01/BOU