FNUS75 KBOU 160047 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH BEAVER...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 645 PM MDT WED JUN 15 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE SOME INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND EVEN MORE SO ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE SHIFTING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY BY LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. EXPECT STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE INCREASING ON THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73. MIN HUMIDITY........11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 22-32 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 12800-13800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOUTH BEAVER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/15-18 48 5 1 67 17 W12 18 3 1 W39 10829 W28 259561 E 06/15-19 48 5 1 64 19 W10 17 3 1 W39 7966 W25 185645 E 06/15-20 48 5 1 60 23 W10 16 3 1 W39 5103 W22 111730 V 06/15-21 48 5 1 56 27 W 9 15 3 1 W39 2240 W20 37814 P 06/15-22 48 5 1 53 31 W 8 14 3 1 W39 1575 W17 26038 P 06/15-23 48 5 1 51 35 W 8 13 3 1 W38 910 W14 14263 P 06/16-00 49 8 2 49 39 W 8 13 3 1 W39 245 W12 2488 P 06/16-01 49 8 2 47 42 W 8 14 3 1 W40 216 W12 2133 P 06/16-02 49 8 2 45 46 W 9 15 3 1 W43 186 W10 1778 P 06/16-03 49 8 2 44 48 W10 16 3 1 W44 156 W10 1423 P 06/16-04 49 8 2 43 50 W12 17 3 1 W46 154 W10 1412 P 06/16-05 49 8 2 43 49 W12 18 3 1 W46 152 SW10 1400 P 06/16-06 34 8 2 43 47 W12 18 3 1 W46 150 SW10 1389 P 06/16-07 34 8 2 45 39 SW10 17 3 1 W45 1133 SW12 13128 P 06/16-08 34 8 2 51 28 SW 9 15 3 1 W43 2115 SW13 24866 P 06/16-09 34 8 2 56 21 S 9 15 3 1 W39 3098 SW14 36605 P 06/16-10 34 8 2 61 16 S12 18 3 1 W35 5966 SW16 101389 V 06/16-11 34 8 2 65 13 SW14 22 3 1 SW30 8833 SW20 166173 E 06/16-12 58 10 2 68 11 SW16 25 3 2 SW26 11701 SW23 230957 E 06/16-13 58 10 2 69 11 SW16 25 3 2 SW25 12267 SW23 245063 E 06/16-14 58 10 2 70 12 SW15 24 4 2 SW25 12833 SW23 259170 E 06/16-15 58 10 2 71 12 SW15 24 4 2 SW25 13399 SW23 273277 E 06/16-16 58 10 2 71 13 SW16 26 4 2 SW25 12377 SW24 258007 E 06/16-17 58 10 2 71 13 SW17 29 3 2 SW26 11355 SW24 242737 E 06/16-18 43 10 2 70 14 SW18 30 3 2 SW29 10333 SW25 227467 E 06/16-19 43 10 2 68 16 SW17 29 3 2 SW30 8034 SW25 175932 E 06/16-20 43 10 2 64 19 SW16 25 3 2 SW32 5735 SW24 124397 V 06/16-21 41 10 2 61 23 SW14 22 3 2 SW35 3435 SW24 72863 G 06/16-22 41 10 2 59 26 SW15 24 3 2 SW32 2564 SW25 55353 F 06/16-23 41 10 2 56 29 SW17 29 3 2 SW29 1584 SW26 34907 P 06/17-00 41 5 1 54 32 SW21 33 3 1 SW26 604 SW28 14461 P 06/17-01 41 5 1 52 34 W23 38 3 1 SW26 570 W30 14732 P 06/17-02 41 5 1 51 36 W26 41 3 1 SW29 535 W32 15004 P 06/17-03 41 5 1 50 37 W28 44 3 1 SW30 501 W35 15275 P 06/17-04 41 5 1 49 38 W29 45 3 1 SW31 648 W35 19748 P 06/17-05 41 5 1 48 39 W28 44 4 1 SW32 796 W35 24220 P 06/17-06 37 5 1 48 38 W25 40 4 1 SW35 943 W35 28693 P 06/17-07 37 5 1 50 36 W21 33 3 1 SW39 3303 W35 94376 G 06/17-08 37 5 1 56 29 W16 25 3 1 W45 5663 W33 160058 E 06/17-09 37 5 1 62 24 W12 18 2 1 W48 8023 W32 225741 E 06/17-10 37 5 1 65 23 W 9 14 2 1 W47 9586 W30 237364 E 06/17-11 37 5 1 68 21 SW 8 13 2 1 W43 11149 W26 248987 E 06/17-12 59 10 2 69 20 SW 8 13 2 2 W39 12711 SW24 260610 E 06/17-13 59 10 2 70 20 SW10 17 2 2 SW38 13045 SW24 271288 E 06/17-14 59 10 2 70 19 SW14 22 3 2 SW37 13379 SW24 281965 E 06/17-15 59 10 2 71 19 SW15 24 3 2 SW38 13712 SW24 292643 E 06/17-16 59 10 2 71 19 S13 20 3 2 SW40 13353 SW24 280582 E 06/17-17 59 10 2 70 19 SE 8 13 3 2 SW43 12994 SW24 268521 E 06/17-18 49 10 2 70 20 E 5 5 3 2 SW44 12635 SW23 256461 E 06/17-19 49 10 2 69 21 E 5 5 3 2 SW41 9986 SW21 191210 E 06/17-20 49 10 2 65 24 E 6 6 3 2 SW38 7338 S17 125960 V 06/17-21 49 10 2 60 30 E 7 7 3 2 SW36 4689 S15 60709 G 06/17-22 49 10 2 57 35 E 6 6 3 2 SW37 4326 S15 54647 F 06/17-23 49 10 2 54 40 SE 3 3 3 2 SW40 3963 S14 48585 F 06/18-00 47 5 1 52 45 SE 2 2 3 1 SW44 3600 S14 42523 F 06/18-01 47 5 1 51 46 S 3 3 3 1 SW48 3361 S15 43457 F 06/18-02 47 5 1 49 46 SW 6 6 2 1 SW52 3123 S16 44392 F 06/18-03 47 5 1 48 46 W 8 13 2 1 SW54 2884 SW18 45326 F 06/18-04 47 5 1 47 47 W10 16 2 1 SW54 3012 SW20 53015 F 06/18-05 47 5 1 47 47 W12 20 2 1 SW52 3140 SW22 60704 G 06/18-06 50 5 1 47 46 W13 21 2 1 SW48 3268 W24 68393 G 06/18-07 50 5 1 49 40 W12 17 2 1 SW46 5387 W26 128884 V 06/18-08 50 5 1 56 30 SW 9 15 2 1 SW43 7507 W28 189375 E 06/18-09 50 5 1 63 22 SW 8 13 2 1 SW40 9627 W30 249866 E 06/18-10 50 5 1 66 19 SW10 17 2 1 SW35 11596 W30 299814 E 06/18-11 50 5 1 69 16 SW15 23 2 1 SW30 13566 W30 349761 E 06/18-12 52 10 2 71 14 SW17 28 2 2 SW26 15536 W30 399708 E 06/18-13 52 10 2 72 14 SW16 25 2 2 SW26 16102 SW30 410762 E 06/18-14 52 10 2 72 15 SW13 21 2 2 SW28 16669 SW29 421817 E 06/18-15 52 10 2 73 15 SW10 16 2 2 SW30 17235 SW29 432871 E 06/18-16 52 10 2 73 15 SW10 16 2 2 SW31 17329 SW29 437724 E 06/18-17 52 10 2 73 15 SW10 16 2 2 SW32 17422 SW29 442576 E 06/18-18 52 10 2 72 16 SW10 16 2 2 SW33 17516 W30 447429 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110615.SOUTH.01/BOU