FNUS74 KEPZ 151642 AAA
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR GODFREY FIRE...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1042 AM MDT WED JUN 15 2011


FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR GODFREY FIRE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1042 AM MDT WED JUN 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0813 MDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...UPDATED TO INCLUDE VENTILATION CATEGORY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...WILL
TEMPORARILY BUILD NORTHWARD OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THIS RIDGE
WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST THURSDAY...AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS
OVER THE WESTERN STATES.  PROXIMITY OF THIS TROUGH TO THE HIGH TO OUR
SOUTHEAST...WILL ALLOW FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
FOR BURN SITE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH THROUGH 1100L.  WINDS INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST 11-15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    THEN 15-19 MPH MID AND LATE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    OVER 20 MPH...ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN EDGE OF FIRE WITH
                    PROXIMITY TO WEST SLOPE OFF THE KNOB.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......34300 FEET KNOT-FT(POOR)...INCREASING TO
                    110600 KNOT-FT (VERY GOOD).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15-19 MPH UNTIL 2000L...DECREASING AND BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST TO 4 TO 7 MPH BEFORE MIDNIGHT.  PORTIONS OF FIRE
                    OFF KNOB ON WEST SLOPE MAY EXPERIENCE LOCAL DRAINAGES AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 100-200 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......142200 KNOT-FT(VERY GOOD)EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 350 KNOT-FT(POOR)


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-6 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH UNTIL 0800L...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 15-19 MPH AFT 1100L.  THEN 22-27 MPH BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...ESPECIALLY OVER
                    WESTERN EDGE OF FIRE WITH PROXIMITY TO WEST SLOPE OFF THE KNOB.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 14300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......1400 KNOT-FT IN THE MORNING(POOR)...INCREASING
                    TO 200200 KNOT-FT (EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.



$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110615.GODFR.01/EPZ