FNUS72 KJAX 152229
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPANOLA FIRE...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
629 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1818 EDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS PROGRESSED WELL INLAND
OF THE FIRE SITE...HOWEVER OUTFLOWS FROM STORMS OVER MARION COUNTY
WILL BE POSSIBLE AND MAY CREATE LOW LEVEL WIND SHIFTS THIS EVENING.
STORMS WILL DECREASE IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT SSE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SLIGHTLY HIGHER MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE WEEK...MAINLY IN THE FORM
OF WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE 15 MPH OR LESS EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. AREAS OF FOG AND SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNIGHT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     70     70     70     45     45
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  AREAS  AREAS         AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   FOG
TEMP............91     86     82     79     77     76
RH..............54     68     75     81     88     94
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 8    SE 7   SE 6   SE 3   S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   1700   1700   1000   300    1100
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16  E 14   SE 14  SE 9   SE 6   S 6
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AND SMOKE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........45     70     70     70     70     70
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     77     86     91     93     92
RH..............95     90     67     56     51     52
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 3    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1900   1900   4400   7000   7000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6    S 8    S 8    S 9    SW 12  SW 12
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110615.ESPAN.02/JAX