FNUS72 KMFL 151944
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONKEY FARM...BIG CYPRESS NATL. PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
344 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1525 EDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 800 PM EDT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL
HENDRY COUNTY AND ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF THE FIRE...WILL MOVE
OVER THE AREA BEFORE 430 PM. THOUGH WINDS ARE CURRENTLY WESTERLY
AT 5 TO 8 MPH...STRONG GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS MOVE OVER THE AREA. LATER TONIGHT...SKIES WILL CLEAR AND A
LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND WILL DEVELOP. SOME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ESPECIALLY IF THE AREA GETS SOME RAIN.

WIND FLOW ALOFT MAY BE MORE EASTERLY THURSDAY AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST,

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 0 TO 1 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........50     30     30     30     30     30
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............91     86     82     78     75     73
RH..............54     65     74     85     97     100
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 4    W 4    NW 2   NE 0   NE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 6    W 4    W 4    NW 2   NE 0   NE 0
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   2800   2800   500    200    200
MIXNG WIND......W 12   W 7    W 7    NW 2   NE 0   NE 0
DISPERSION IDX..48     3      3      1      0      0
LVORI...........8      8      8      8      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............3      2      2      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 14 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 37 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110615.MONKE.02/MFL