FNUS72 KMHX 151913 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 313 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 EDT ON JUNE 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. THE FRONT WILL BECOME STALLED NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000-1800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............29 30 32 34 36 42 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP................78 70 66 63 61 60 RH..................47 60 67 72 78 81 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 8 NE 6 NE 5 E 4 SE 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 6 6 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900-5800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 18 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............51 57 64 74 81 84 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................58 65 74 82 86 85 RH..................91 83 59 48 46 48 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 4 S 5 S 7 S 8 S 10 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 20 LVORI...............8 5 2 2 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110615.PAINS.02/MHX