FNUS71 KRNK 151229
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR COSBY...VDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
829 AM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JUNE 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST AND OFFSHORE
LATER TODAY. A COMPLEX FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST
TONIGHT RESULTING IN BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. THIS
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY BEFORE
STALLING OVER THE CAROLINAS...RESULTING IN PERIODIC ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS INTO THE WEEKEND AS IMPULSES TRACK ACROSS OR
JUST NORTH OF THE AREA.

RAIN CHANCES ARE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP THIS
AFTERNOON TO AROUND 40 PERCENT WITH DEW POINTS NEAR 50F AND TEMPERATURE
APPROACHING 80F.


&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE
TEMP................75     78
RH..................43     40
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....
CWR.................0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............42     53     69     85     93     90
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
RH..................46     56     67     76     84     91
20 FT WIND..........S 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5             5
CWR.................10     0      10     10     20     40

$$
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...JIM JARVIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110615.COSBY.01/RNK