FNUS74 KBMX 161350 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HARD ROCK HILL FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 850 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0829 CDT ON JUNE 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL. PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT LOCATIONS WHICH RECEIVE RAINFALL TODAY. OTHERWISE...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE EACH AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 70 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 60 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 71 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 88 INCREASING TO 100 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............75 84 88 91 92 RH..............67 50 42 33 32 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 5 W 6 NW 6 NW 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 5700 8200 8800 7700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SW 10 W 7 NW 8 N 13 DISPERSION......5 5 58 71 102 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....84 DECREASING TO 1. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............88 80 75 72 70 69 RH..............39 54 69 75 80 83 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 2 NE 1 NE 1 E 1 SE 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....6700 3900 400 BLW100 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 9 NE 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 DISPERSION......84 43 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 80. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............69 74 83 92 96 96 RH..............84 80 63 43 34 33 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 1 W 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1800 5600 6900 7700 8400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 5 S 8 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 DISPERSION......2 2 4 77 83 78 $$ FORECASTER...ALLEN REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110616.HARDR.01/BMX