FNUS73 KDLH 170116
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE ISLAND...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
816 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1949 CDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL RANGE FROM LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST TO CALM
OVERNIGHT THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5
TO 10 MPH AT 20 FEET. THIS PATTERN OF WEAK EAST WINDS IN THE
DAYTIME AND CALM OR NEARLY CALM WIND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.
HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH MINIMA BETWEEN
55 AND 60 PERCENT DURING EACH AFTERNOON. PATTERN-WISE...WE HAVE WEAK
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER LAKE SUPERIOR TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY
BECOMING LESS WELL DEFINED FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH A WEAKENING LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH COMING TOWARD US FRIDAY EVENING AND STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINING OVER HUDSON AND JAMES BAY...AS WELL AS UPPER
RIDGING OVER THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...PRECIPITATION MAY WELL
BE LIGHT AND MEAGER ACROSS THE UPPER ARROWHEAD...IN SPITE OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT...SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND
WITH A 60 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE RAIN SATURDAY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS...AGAIN...WILL TEND TO BE MODEST BECAUSE OF THE
CONTINUED DRY PATTERN ALOFT AND TO YOUR NORTHEAST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6600).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............65     60     55     52     51     50
RH..............69     79     91     95     100    100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD..2      1      0      0      0      0
20 FT WIND GUST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4750 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27000) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (83100) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............52     59     65     69     71     71
RH..............97     76     65     59     56     56
20 FT WIND DIR..E      E      E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1      4      6      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      8      14     14     14

$$
FORECASTER...PETER
REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110616.HORSE.01/DLH