FNUS74 KEPZ 161510
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR GODFREY FIRE...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
910 AM MDT THU JUN 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0819 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING...AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY EVENING.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY...UNSEASONABLY HOT WITH BREEZY TO NEAR WINDY CONDITIONS STARTING
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.  UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW COMPLEX
ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN STATES...WILL BRING A RETURN
TO AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING W-SW WINDS FOR THE BURN SITE OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....96-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000L...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    SOUTHWEST 15-19 MPH UNTIL 1200L.  THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    23-28 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    OVER 30 MPH...ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN EDGE OF FIRE
                    WITH PROXIMITY TO WEST SLOPE OFF THE KNOB.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......1800 KNOT-FT(POOR) EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 264600 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MAX HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 15-19 MPH UNTIL 2000L...DECREASING
                    AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO 4 TO 7 MPH BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
                    PORTIONS OF FIRE OFF KNOB ON WEST SLOPE MAY EXPERIENCE
                    LOCAL DRAINAGES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......184800 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) EARLY...DECREASING
                    TO 4900 KNOT-FT(POOR).


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THROUGH THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000L...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST 15-19 MPH UNTIL 1200L.
                    THEN WEST-SOUTHWEST 21-26 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 30 MPH...ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN
                    EDGE OF FIRE WITH PROXIMITY TO WEST SLOPE OFF THE KNOB.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......3400 KNOT-FT(POOR) EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 249900 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110616.GODFR.01/EPZ