FNUS72 KILM 161113
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR AMSTEP...NOAA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
713 AM EDT THU JUN 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0708 EDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. ANOTHER FRONT
WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON
FRIDAY...THEN LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND BEFORE LIFTING NORTH
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK
TOWARD THE AREA.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-5300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2900
                    FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............100    77     74     78     80     80
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................71     75     79     80     79     78
RH..................80     71     60     61     64     67
20 FT WIND..........S 5    S 6    S 7    S 9    S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 18 TO
                    24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............78     71     61     60     71     61
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................77     76     75     74     74     74
RH..................70     76     81     83     84     86
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 8    S 7    S 7    SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     10

$$
FORECASTER...DIGIORGI
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN KEEBLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20110616.AMSTE.01/ILM