FNUS76 KLOX 160502
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAPIA 2...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1002 PM PDT WED JUN 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW AND DEEPENING MARINE
LAYER FROM A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL
BRING A COOLING AND MOISTENING TREND TO THE BURN AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE TROUGH SLOWLY EXITS AND HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT REESTABLISHES.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG AND DRIZZLE IN
    THE MORNING...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-41 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE-LEVEL)....
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH AT
    IGNITION TIME INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH WITH
    GUSTS TO 12 MPH BY 1300 HOURS.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH AT IGNITION TIME
    BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
    GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY 1400 HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY LIFTING TO 3000 FT
    AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH AT
    IGNITION TIME...BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
    10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1100 HOURS.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY
    FOG AND DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE-LEVEL)....
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS
    TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2100 HOURS...BECOMING LIGHT
    AND VARIABLE 3 MPH OR LESS.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000
    HOURS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EARLY...DESCENDING TO 1000 FT AGL
    OR LESS BY 2300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000
    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AROUND 5
    MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...LARRY TUCKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110616.TAPIA.01/LOX

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