FNUS72 KMLB 162105
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARIEL...NEW SMYRNA FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
505 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1710 EDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN EARLIER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS DELAYED THE ONSET
OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE AS SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS OCCUR INTO THIS EVENING.
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS IN SMOKE AND FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE
BURN PERIMETER DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS AS WINDS BECOME LIGHT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        ISO ISO             PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM             FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP............84  83  81  80  79  78  78  77  77  76  76  75
RH..............69  73  71  74  77  80  81  84  86  87  87  89
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   7   7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   1
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO
                    7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.

$$
FORECASTER...GLITTO
REQUESTED BY...RANDY WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110616.ARIEL.01/MLB