FNUS72 KMLB 161828
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR VOLUSIA COMMAND 6-17-11...VOLUSIA COUNTY FIRE SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
228 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1343 EDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT PUSHED SOUTH OVER THE
AREA EARLIER TODAY HAS BROUGHT IN A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND MORE
STABLE AIRMASS. THIS HAS DELAYED THE ONSET OF THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE BUT SHOULD SEE THIS BOUNDARY DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND...ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY FROM LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP MAY BECOME STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. ANY LINGERING CONVECTION THIS EVENING SHOULD END OVER
THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AND
DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP............91  92  90  87  85  82  81  81  80  79  79  78
RH..............49  49  52  58  64  71  74  76  79  81  83  86
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  12  12  12  10  9   9   9   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10      15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............7.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...BARRY ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110616.VOLUS.03/MLB