FNUS74 KBMX 171404 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT TIRE...USDA FOREST SERVIVE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 904 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0840 CDT ON JUNE 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE SLIDES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. ACROSS EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA EXPECT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN OVER THE WEEKEND AND WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES AT A MINIMUM THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6100-7600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4100-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 75 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 86 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 94 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 42 DECREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY.............PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............69 82 86 90 92 91 RH..............83 68 55 46 38 43 20 FT WIND......NW 1 NW 2 W 3 SW 5 SW 5 E 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 4700 7200 7600 6200 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 SW 10 SW 10 SW 12 W 14 W 12 DISPERSION......2 5 79 88 94 32 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............90 83 76 73 72 70 RH..............43 57 71 77 80 84 20 FT WIND......E 3 NE 3 E 2 E 1 E 1 NE 0 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1600 600 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 3 S 2 S 3 S 5 S 3 DISPERSION......23 7 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................MISSING. LAL................. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 128 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 77 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 91. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............69 73 82 89 92 93 RH..............89 84 69 54 48 45 20 FT WIND......W 0 W 2 W 3 SW 6 SW 8 SW 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....200 2200 5500 6400 6500 6100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 12 W 17 SW 18 SW 16 SW 14 DISPERSION......3 5 8 129 74 62 $$ FORECASTER...TALLEY REQUESTED BY...SHOAL CR RD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110617.FLATT.01/BMX