FNUS74 KBMX 171243 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HARD ROCK HILL FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 743 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0735 CDT ON JUNE 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE SLIDES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. DEVELOPMENT WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STORMS POSSIBLY LINGERING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SOME STORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6800-7800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 3300-5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 12 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 94 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 129 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 149 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 118 DECREASING TO 68 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 32. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 79 86 91 95 95 RH..............90 78 62 48 39 37 20 FT WIND......SE 1 S 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 MIX HGT (FT)....500 3800 6900 7800 6800 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 3 SW 6 SW 13 SW 18 W 16 W 8 DISPERSION......2 3 94 149 118 36 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 2. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............92 84 78 76 75 73 RH..............41 57 71 76 78 84 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 SE 2 SE 2 S 2 SW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 2200 400 200 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 5 SW 3 S 5 S 5 S 3 DISPERSION......23 13 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4100-5700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5100-6600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 107 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 98 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 59 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 76 85 91 94 95 RH..............89 83 65 49 42 40 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 2 W 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....100 2100 5700 6600 6200 5100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 9 W 15 SW 15 SW 14 SW 14 DISPERSION......2 4 7 108 63 57 $$ FORECASTER...GOLDEN REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110617.HARDR.01/BMX