FNUS75 KBOU 171353 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 736 AM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW TO PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-71. MIN HUMIDITY........17-19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12000-13000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46. MAX HUMIDITY........48-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTH 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600-11600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2600-2800 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2400. FAIR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-71. MIN HUMIDITY........14-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 12800-13600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SAND CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/17-07 50 5 1 51 40 W10 16 2 1 W43 3487 W24 78847 G 06/17-08 50 5 1 53 38 W13 20 2 1 W45 4670 W26 112806 V 06/17-09 50 5 1 58 33 W14 22 2 1 W47 5852 W29 146766 V 06/17-10 50 0 0 62 29 W15 24 2 1 W49 7625 W29 194724 E 06/17-11 50 0 0 65 25 W16 25 2 1 W51 9397 W30 242682 E 06/17-12 74 20 4 67 23 W16 25 2 3 W48 11170 W30 290641 E 06/17-13 74 20 4 68 22 W16 25 2 3 W41 11974 W28 280361 E 06/17-14 74 20 4 69 21 W14 23 3 3 W33 12778 W24 270081 E 06/17-15 74 20 4 69 20 W13 21 3 3 SW26 13583 SW22 259800 E 06/17-16 74 20 4 69 19 W10 17 3 3 SW28 12926 SW21 230021 E 06/17-17 74 20 4 69 19 W 9 14 2 3 SW31 12269 SW18 200242 E 06/17-18 74 15 3 68 20 W 7 7 2 3 SW37 11613 SW17 170463 E 06/17-19 74 15 3 66 22 W 6 6 2 3 SW41 10356 SW21 175211 E 06/17-20 74 15 3 62 25 W 5 5 2 3 SW47 9099 SW24 179960 E 06/17-21 74 15 3 58 30 W 5 5 2 3 SW52 7842 SW28 184708 E 06/17-22 74 15 3 56 35 W 3 3 2 3 SW54 7092 SW28 168097 E 06/17-23 74 15 3 54 40 NW 3 3 2 3 SW55 6342 SW28 151486 E 06/18-00 73 5 1 52 44 N 3 3 2 1 SW55 5591 W28 134875 V 06/18-01 73 5 1 50 46 NE 3 3 2 1 SW52 4658 SW25 105806 V 06/18-02 73 5 1 49 48 SE 3 3 2 1 SW48 3724 SW22 76737 G 06/18-03 73 5 1 48 48 S 5 5 2 1 W45 2791 SW20 47669 F 06/18-04 73 5 1 47 48 S 6 6 2 1 SW44 2685 SW17 41747 F 06/18-05 73 5 1 47 47 SW 6 6 2 1 SW44 2580 SW16 35825 P 06/18-06 40 0 0 47 45 W 7 7 2 1 SW44 2474 W14 29903 P 06/18-07 40 0 0 49 39 W 7 7 2 1 W45 4556 W17 79464 G 06/18-08 40 0 0 53 31 SW 8 13 2 1 W45 6638 W21 129026 V 06/18-09 40 0 0 57 25 SW 8 13 2 1 W45 8721 W23 178587 E 06/18-10 40 0 0 61 20 SW10 10 2 1 W44 10082 W25 222566 E 06/18-11 40 0 0 65 18 SW13 20 2 1 W43 11444 W26 266545 E 06/18-12 74 20 4 67 16 SW15 24 2 3 W41 12805 W28 310523 E 06/18-13 74 20 4 68 16 SW17 28 2 3 W43 13102 W29 333599 E 06/18-14 74 20 4 69 16 SW18 30 2 3 W44 13400 W31 356676 E 06/18-15 74 20 4 69 16 W20 31 2 3 W44 13697 W32 379752 E 06/18-16 74 20 4 69 16 W20 31 2 3 W43 13349 W30 346603 E 06/18-17 74 20 4 69 17 W18 29 2 3 W40 13002 W28 313455 E 06/18-18 74 20 4 67 18 W16 25 2 3 W38 12655 W25 280307 E 06/18-19 74 20 4 65 20 W13 20 2 3 W35 10348 W22 208608 E 06/18-20 74 20 4 61 24 NW 8 8 2 3 W32 8042 W17 136910 V 06/18-21 74 20 4 57 29 NW 5 5 2 3 W31 5735 W13 65212 G 06/18-22 74 20 4 54 33 NW 3 3 2 3 W31 4409 W12 47628 F 06/18-23 74 20 4 52 36 W 3 3 2 3 SW33 3083 SW10 30045 P 06/19-00 67 0 0 50 39 SW 3 3 2 1 SW36 1756 SW 8 12461 P 06/19-01 67 0 0 49 42 SW 3 3 2 1 SW35 1284 SW 7 8781 P 06/19-02 67 0 0 47 46 SW 3 3 2 1 SW33 812 SW 6 5101 P 06/19-03 67 0 0 46 50 SW 3 3 2 1 SW31 340 SW 5 1421 P 06/19-04 67 0 0 45 53 W 3 3 2 1 SW29 373 SW 7 2302 P 06/19-05 67 0 0 45 54 W 5 5 2 1 SW28 407 SW 9 3183 P 06/19-06 67 0 0 45 55 W 6 6 2 1 SW26 440 SW10 4065 P 06/19-07 67 0 0 47 49 W 7 7 2 1 SW28 2171 SW14 36724 P 06/19-08 67 0 0 52 40 SW 8 8 2 1 SW30 3901 SW17 69383 G 06/19-09 67 0 0 57 33 SW10 10 2 1 SW32 5631 SW21 102042 V 06/19-10 67 0 0 61 27 SW14 22 2 1 SW36 7189 SW23 149653 V 06/19-11 67 0 0 64 23 SW17 28 2 1 SW38 8746 SW25 197263 E 06/19-12 67 20 4 67 21 SW20 31 2 3 SW39 10304 SW28 244873 E 06/19-13 67 20 4 68 20 SW20 31 2 3 SW39 10918 SW28 257523 E 06/19-14 67 20 4 69 20 SW18 30 2 3 SW37 11532 SW26 270173 E 06/19-15 67 20 4 69 20 SW17 28 2 3 SW35 12146 SW26 282822 E 06/19-16 67 20 4 70 21 SW16 26 2 3 SW35 11893 SW26 276277 E 06/19-17 67 20 4 69 22 SW15 24 2 3 SW36 11640 SW26 269732 E 06/19-18 67 20 4 67 24 SW14 22 2 3 SW37 11387 SW26 263187 E 06/19-19 67 20 4 65 27 SW13 21 2 3 SW39 9368 SW26 215368 E 06/19-20 67 20 4 60 33 W12 18 2 3 SW41 7349 SW26 167550 E 06/19-21 67 20 4 55 40 W10 10 2 3 SW43 5330 SW25 119731 V 06/19-22 67 20 4 52 46 W 8 8 2 3 SW40 3646 SW20 80509 G 06/19-23 67 20 4 50 51 W 7 7 2 3 SW38 1963 SW14 41288 F 06/20-00 78 20 4 48 57 W 6 6 2 3 SW36 279 SW 8 2066 P 06/20-01 78 20 4 46 61 W 7 7 2 3 SW36 283 W 9 2398 P 06/20-02 78 20 4 44 65 W 8 8 2 3 SW37 286 W12 2731 P 06/20-03 78 20 4 42 69 W 9 9 2 3 S38 290 W13 3063 P 06/20-04 78 20 4 41 71 W 9 9 2 3 SW37 329 W12 3062 P 06/20-05 78 20 4 41 70 W 8 8 2 3 SW37 368 W10 3061 P 06/20-06 78 20 4 41 69 W 7 7 2 3 SW36 408 W 9 3059 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110617.SANDC.01/BOU