FNUS74 KEWX 171622 FWSEWX SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAND MESA FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1122 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1045 CDT ON JUNE 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BREEZY SOUTH WINDS AND STRONG MIXING OF DRY AIR ALOFT ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY...AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR 30 PERCENT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 15 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 25 MPH... AND THEN DIMINISH TO 10 TO 15 MPH TONIGHT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO RECOVER TO AROUND 60 PERCENT BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT BY 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND HOT (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 37 MPH DECREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........78 78 78 24 24 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 79 86 92 98 101 RH..............85 76 59 47 37 32 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 14 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 10 S 11 S 12 S 12 S 12 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 20 25 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 5 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 36 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........24 12 12 12 44 75 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............100 96 89 84 80 78 RH..............30 35 49 62 73 82 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 13 S 12 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 11 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 EYE LEVEL WIND..20 20 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 75 75 42 32 32 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 79 85 92 97 100 RH..............87 81 63 46 37 29 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 12 S 13 S 14 S 15 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9 S 9 S 10 S 11 S 11 S 11 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 20 20 20 25 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 5 $$ REQUESTED BY...SARAH BROOKS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110617.GRAND.01/EWX