FNUS72 KJAX 172037
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPANOLA...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
437 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1623 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS APPROACHING THE AREA.
THIS FEATURE IN CONCERT WITH HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND THE
SEA BREEZES WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY WITH
PREVAILING SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS EXCEPT FOR EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS
ACROSS COASTAL ZONES AS THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE SETS UP. RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE SUNDAY ALONG WITH EVEN HOTTER TEMPERATURES
AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION.

EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. RH VALUES WILL STAY ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES.

FARSITE WTR AND WND FILES HAVE BEEN POSTED TO THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION
OF THE NWS JAX WEBSITE AT...

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/?N=FIRE

LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANY TROUBLE GETTING ACCESS TO THESE FILES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     43     43     43     25     25
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............88     83     79     77     76     74
RH..............60     67     76     82     87     91
20 FT WIND......SE 15  SE 14  S 10   S 7    SW 3   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     15     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5400   1600   1600   1000   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 18   S 18   S 10   S 6    S 6
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........25     25     25     25     70     70
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     76     84     89     91     91
RH..............95     90     68     57     52     52
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 3   W 6    SW 7   SW 7   S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2100   2100   4700   7400   7400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7   W 10   W 10   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...PRESNALL
REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110617.ESPAN.01/JAX