FNUS72 KJAX 171758
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA- FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
158 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1340 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AROUND SUNSET. AT THIS TIME THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE WILDFIRE LATE IN THE EVENING WITH A BRIEF
INCREASE OF WINDS UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. THEN THE FLOW RETURNS TO
A DOMINANT WEST-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION.

RAIN CHANCES WILL BE AROUND 30 PERCENT ON SATURDAY BUT DECREASE ON
SUNDAY AS EVEN HOTTER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

NOTE: THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE IS INCOMPLETE AT THIS TIME
AND SOME PARAMETERS MAY VARY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........66     64     64     57     50     50
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............92     85     80     77     74     72
RH..............50     66     79     86     89     93
20 FT WIND......W 5    S 3    S 7    S 9    S 6    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....6600   1700   1700   1000   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13  SW 12  SW 12  SW 8   SW 6   SW 6
LAL.............2      2      2      2      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....79.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........55     60     60     62     63     63
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............71     75     87     95     99     97
RH..............98     90     62     48     41     41
20 FT WIND......SW 6   W 6    W 7    SW 8   SW 9   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1800   1800   4400   7000   7000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 8    W 8    W 10   W 12   W 12
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...TRABERT
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110617.IMPAS.01/JAX