FNUS72 KJAX 171253 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEAT FARM ROAD...GEMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 853 AM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0850 EDT ON JUNE 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NEXT IN SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE DAY. THIS FEATURE IN CONCERT WITH HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND THE SEA BREEZES WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS IN AND NEAR THE FIRE AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY...WITH WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND THE ATLANTIC SEA-BREEZE. GENERAL SYNOPTIC WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH...HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS MAY INCREASE NEAR THE FIRE FRONT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY WITH FREQUENT WIND SHIFTS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. GENERAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 35 AND 40 PERCENT...HOWEVER...DUE TO DRYING FROM THE FIRE RH VALUES MAY BE CONSIDERABLY LOWER ALONG AND NEAR THE FIRE FRONT. OUTLOOK...SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE SUNDAY ALONG WITH EVEN HOTTER TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................3 UNTIL 0800...THEN 1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....82. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........69 69 69 68 68 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 89 94 95 94 RH..............98 66 50 42 43 20 FT WIND......SW 5 W 7 SW 7 SW 8 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 4500 4500 7000 7000 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 10 W 10 W 12 N 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. LAL.................2. MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....5. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........66 63 63 62 60 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............90 84 79 76 74 72 RH..............47 60 74 82 89 94 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6300 2000 2000 1000 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 NE 9 NE 9 SE 7 SW 7 SW 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....54. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SANDRIK REQUESTED BY...DIANE ADAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110617.SWEAT.02/JAX