FNUS72 KMFL 171041 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNS FIRES...SEMINOLE TRIBE FIRE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 641 AM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0622 EDT ON JUNE 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND BECOME LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES WITH CONVECTION EXPECTED TO START AROUND 20-21Z. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE AREA AND THERE IS A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TODAY. A LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ONCE AGAIN. A SURGE IN MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND THIS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ON SATURDAY. DISPERSION VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE GENERALLY GOOD RANGE TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 97. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 45 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 52. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 40 40 50 50 50 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............79 82 88 95 97 94 RH..............85 79 74 54 46 54 20 FT WIND......S 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....200 3700 4800 4800 5200 5200 MIXNG WIND......SW 2 SE 2 SE 6 SE 6 SE 10 SE 12 DISPERSION IDX..1 13 34 34 54 54 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............1 2 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....49 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............9. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 96. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 33. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...KEITH YEATES TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110617.JOHNS.01/MFL