FNUS72 KMHX 171004 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 604 AM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0547 EDT ON JUNE 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE ATLANTIC BACK OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. RADAR IS ESTIMATING ABOUT QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH OF RAINFALL IN SHOWERS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING...ABOUT 5 MILES WEST OF STUMPY POINT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............67 55 52 49 46 45 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 77 79 84 88 87 RH..................79 81 70 61 55 53 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 12 SW 12 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 20 LVORI...............3 3 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....72-77. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 41 47 53 58 57 WEATHER COV.........S CHC AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................84 79 77 76 76 74 RH..................58 70 81 84 85 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 S 9 S 9 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 3 4 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 4 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............54 52 51 51 50 52 WEATHER COV.........AREAS S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 74 82 87 90 89 RH..................92 92 70 57 53 56 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 W 10 W 10 W 10 SW 10 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...GARY M CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110617.PAINS.01/MHX