FNUS72 KMHX 171805
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
205 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1354 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE ATLANTIC BACK OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000-1400 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............51     60     61     62     63     63
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................84     79     76     73     72     71
RH..................69     79     88     98     99     100
20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 10   S 10   SW 11  SW 11  SW 11  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     20     20     15
LVORI...............3      3      4      5      5      7
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 20
                    MPH LATE.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............63     63     61     59     58     59
WEATHER COV.........                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................70     74     81     86     89     88
RH..................100    95     73     61     57     62
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9   SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  S 11   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     20     20
LVORI...............8      6      3      2      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110617.PAINS.02/MHX