FNUS72 KMLB 172246
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR VOLUSIA COMMAND 2011...VOLUSIA COUNTY FIRE SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
646 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1816 EDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
FIRE THROUGH SUNSET. ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET WITH
ALL SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED TO END BY MIDNIGHT. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING...QUARTER
SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. MOST STORMS WILL PRODUCE
ERRATIC WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE
THROUGH SUNSET.

LIGHT WINDS AND WET GROUND FROM THIS EVENINGS STORMS WILL ALLOW
FOR FOG AND SMOKE TO MIX CREATING LOW VISIBILITIES IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FIRE NEAR SUNRISE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNSET...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TEMP............87  85  83  82  81  80  79  78  77  77  77  77
RH..............61  66  68  70  74  77  79  81  82  82  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM EDT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...JULIE MADDUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110617.VOLUS.02/MLB