FNUS72 KMHX 180949 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 549 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0533 EDT ON JUNE 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NORTH OF THE AREA SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500-5500 FT AGL LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............64 59 54 48 45 53 WEATHER COV.........AREAS CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 78 82 86 90 90 RH..................89 85 71 63 58 58 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 SW 12 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 20 20 20 LVORI...............5 4 3 2 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 250-500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............61 67 68 69 70 70 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................87 82 77 76 76 75 RH..................63 75 91 98 99 96 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 14 SW 12 SW 11 SW 11 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 4 5 7 7 6 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 3 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4800-5300 FT AGL LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............69 67 59 58 57 57 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 77 82 86 88 88 RH..................93 86 72 63 59 60 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 12 SW 11 W 10 W 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 LVORI...............6 6 3 2 1 3 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110618.PAINS.01/MHX