FNUS72 KMHX 181836
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
236 PM EDT SAT JUN 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1429 EDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN INLAND OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH SUNDAY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE INTO CENTRAL
SECTIONS OF THE REGION BEFORE STALLING SUNDAY. A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD WEST OF THE AREA MONDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............57     68     72     76     80     80
WEATHER COV.........S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................87     80     77     74     73     71
RH..................64     79     88     97     99     100
20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 14   SW 14  SW 12  SW 11  SW 10  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     20     20     15     15
LVORI...............1      4      5      7      7      6
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      5      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-4800 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4000-5700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............81     82     80     77     76     73
WEATHER COV.........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................70     74     80     86     88     87
RH..................100    96     78     65     57     61
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  W 10   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     15
LVORI...............6      6      3      2      1      3
HAINES INDEX........4      4      5      5      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110618.PAINS.02/MHX